Tuesday, 13 August 2019

Kashmir: What next?

There is discomfort over Kashmir situation; particularly on what next? We might have to objectively look at what India & Pakistan are doing, what they can do & worst case scenario (if things spiral out of control).

For the moment, just start paying tax & that is the best you can do for Kashmir Cause, specially Mullahs who have a feel for business in brewing situation. State should handle Kashmir with open mind. There is resentment inside India both among opposition & liberal literate Indians who are for certain a minority. Fanatic nationalist are not only in numbers, they are riding a high tide of hate augmented by extremist religious beliefs and fantasy of Mahabharta. Like ours, religious bigotry is easy to sell in India as well. But the direction is less ideological more political in nature.Modi's political game hinges on fuelling Hindu extremism & in doing so inciting nationalistic jingoism. It already got him second term despite failures & amateurish policies. Extremism & jingoism feeds on hatred. It sells fast & produces results in a society of nearly 300 million illiterate adults, enough votes to win elections. And their media dances only on war tunes. No where in the world media is as hysteric as India. Like ours, media is also a sold out. But political polarization in India on current Kashmir situation has left them no choice but to share opposition's disaporoval of it. Our greatest advantage is that abolishing special status of Kashmir & annexing Ladakh has put India in an internal political quandary. India is not united. There is word that indian Supreme Court may annul the legislation but when it comes to Dharam, ISC has repeatedly failed to keep its judicial integrity particularly when Indian Muslims are at the receiving end.

On foregn front, India is being exposed and incidentally, we have an active FO & a proactive FM. Seek them out on every forum. Yes, it didn't make any difference in past 72 years but this time we are taking no prisoners.

Those in hurry for war should take a deep breath. I'm also suggesting the same with an overarching domestic and foreign ploicy imperatives along with exploiting internal Indian discord on the issue even if we have to go till the bitter end. 

Celebrating this 14 August as Kashmir Banay Ga Pakistan Day sends a strong signal across. PM deciding to spend Azadi Day at AJK also gets two thumps up. Whether situation spirals out of conrol or not nation must look united. Opposition political parties in Pakistan are crippled, so if anyone is worried that opposition not being on board  makes any difference they are wasting their time. Opposition had one wise move to gain any political mileage in given situation i.e to stand with the Govt on this sensitive issue but their desperation is letting them down. Does it matter if Maraym Nawaz is behind the bars, she still can make substandard leadership calls from there. Likewise, Bilawal with Zardari's baggage is a dummy.

Those disapproving Govt Tweets as limiting the war to social media should understand, social media is the battleground. We have to dig in there as well. We must out maneuver Indians on social media. Our job is easy, just share the truth in the face of Indian lies blatant lies & propaganda of normalcy in Kashmir & elsewhere. Tweets like appeal to Sikhs & Punjabi soldiers not to take part in atrocities against Kashmiris can be effective. 

This time we should not need Mullahs at the front line of Kashmir issue. State should take the bull by the horns on every front. 

Time is ripe to fuel ethnic/ separatist movements in India. Situation in Kashmir demands we up the ante from moral support to next level, they deserve it. They have been wrapping their fallen in Sabz Hilali. What kind of loyalty is that? More than political, I guess its ideological.When political goals fall within the ambit of Islamic ideology, its like an elephant in the room. Its not just the reality to deal with but an obilgation to fulfill. 

So basically its Modi's pathetic short term political gimmickry versus Kashmiris' ideological struggle. Kashmiris already outweigh Modi's politics. 

Probability of things spiraling out of control is low. We might expect some adventurism from Modi Mindset in last year in office, not in first. Pakistan should remain proactive on exploiting Indian vulnerabilities and extremely vigilant to react with force where needed. One calculated move like 27 February air combat feat & Indian bubble will bust.

There is an opportunity in every challenge, we need to seize this opportunity and use it to our advantage. 

Only Allah knows the whole Truth.

2 comments:

  1. Sir very well analyzed and may Allah help us to deal with this situation proactively and wisely. Aameen

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  2. Nice analysis.Thank you for sharing your thoughts.

    ReplyDelete