Tuesday 20 August 2019

Extension & civil military blame game

As nation, we committed mistakes that's why we are where we are today. All of us are responsible for it. Singling out army for mistakes that take root in civilian chief executive's decisions has become a fashion and a quick way to catch attention. Out of merit army chiefs & extensions are not initiated by the army though no one declined such offers either. Who would? Why only Army is blamed when things go haywire? Why don't we trace the cause of things going wrong? Nation suffered under dictatorships, more so army itself. Army has learnt to stay away from active politics and credit goes to General Raheel Sharif for setting the bar so high. Just two assemblies completed their full time & 'change' came to pass through democratic process (about which losing political opposition would always whine) .
Violating Army's merit might have worked for civilian chief executives but on the whole it brought more ills than goodwill for the nation & army in particular. All military dictators of our history were appointed out of merit by the civilian CEs of the time. Extensions are also born out of political compromises and how current extension is any different from General Kiyani's, needs to be seen. Before that a quick recap of where it all started rather how those dictators usurped the power and hung on to it through courts and politicians, none of whom could be absolved of their share of mistakes.
Major General Ayub Khan, commissioned in 1928, with just 23 years of service was appointed Commander-in-Chief of Pakistan Army despite the fact that his name was not included in the nomination list. General Ayub's appointment set the precedent for promoting C-in-Cs out of turn, ostensibly because he was the least ambitious of the generals in the line of promotion and the most loyal to civil government at that time. Army merit was violated by civilian CE for political gains and entire nation paid the price.
Lieutenant General Zia, ul Haq, as Corps Commander at Multan in 1975, invited Prime Minister Zulfikar Ali Bhutto as the Colonel-in-Chief of the Armoured Corps at Multan, using his tailor to stitch the Blue Patrols of his size. The next day, Bhutto was requested to climb a tank and engage a target, where the target was quite obviously hit. Shortly after that on 1 March 1976, PM ZAB approved General Zia as COAS. This promotion again was ahead of a number of more senior officers. This promotion was highly controversial but had political motives for Bhutto, who saw Zia as firmly religious and an apolitical military figure who had distaste of politics. Again army merit was violated by civilian CE for political motives. 
PM Nawaz Sharif had same motives in 1998 who promoted General Pervez Musharraf as COAS based on his apolitical nature, but met the same fate as Bhutto in 1999 (except that he was not executed). Pervez Musharraf was third-in line after Lieutenant General Ali Kuli Khan, a graduate of PMA and RMA, Sandhurst, who was an extremely capable officer but was seen as close to the former COAS Abdul Vaheed Kakar; and was not promoted. The other was Lieutenant General Khalid Nawaz Khan a hardcore soldier & hard taskmaster who was bypassed due to oozing wisdom of CE of the country. Yet, again army merit was violated by civilian CE and entire nation paid the price.
At the back of stinking NRO and unfortunate killing of Benazir Bhutto, came the reign of 'reconciliation' under Asif Ali Zardari. Security & operational environment of the time necessitated that short one year extension in COAS' term which was not better than his early three years. In the hindsight, should have not happened at all. Another mistake initiated by the civilian CE and perfected by the military chief. Somehow, CEs failed to respect army's merit despite being the only organized, disciplined & reliable institution in the country. 
How current extension could be any different? Current Army Chief was not appointed by the current CE. Army's operational performance, regional presence, global outlook, inland disaster relief, February 2019 showdown with India & looming Kashmir resurgence warrant an extension? Not enough reason besides it disrupts Army’s system of promotions. Both Govt & Army have been on one page much longer than scribe's prediction. Continuation of the same setting is quintessential to stable Pakistan.
Although PM has had serious reservations over General Kiayani's extension & beefed up his arguments with examples of rotation of army chiefs during WWII yet he took another U turn because current security environment is no where near as bad as WWII. Nontheless, one can only hope it turns out good for the nation & the army, though history is not on our side on this one. But much has changed in recent times who knows this jinx may also be broken if not then you know who is to be blamed. 


Only Allah knows the whole Truth.

Sunday 18 August 2019

I am a young Chinar tree

I am a young Chinar tree. In August, I draw my blood-red from hues of nature and not from innocent blood. Blood is your sport. I don't even have blood in me. But as nature's sentinel when I see it, I have to report. Standing in the middle of nature's wonder, as I look around, the captivating beauty of Kashmir brings involuntary blush which you see as red in my leaves. My sensuous red is fading under unbearable gun smoke and resulting mourns of mothers & screams of kids. For centuries, my ancestors have seen these Pheran robed people of Kashmir, struggling for a breath of 'free air'. Rest of you can breath that free air but they can't. Even laws of the wild don't usurp the right to free air. I don't understand your discriminatory laws. Besides adding to the beauty of the land, I discharge fresh breathing air every day without discriination of dharam and ideology of those who inhale it. I don't ask for color or creed of inhahlers before letting a part of me to reach your lungs. I don't understand your biases. Don't confuse me with your sense of everything. Don't confuse me with your knowledge of the world. I will not buy your shady logics for I come from the flora of a Valley you call heaven. Heaven is not meant to endure sufferings of earthlings. Heaven dwellers are the special ones but you have revoked their special status. These Pheran robed heaven dewellers have sufferers alot. I may not be able to change your mind but as duty bound sentinel, I will stand as witness to atrocities of some & inaction of others.
I am just a young Chinar tree in the Valley.

Tuesday 13 August 2019

Kashmir: What next?

There is discomfort over Kashmir situation; particularly on what next? We might have to objectively look at what India & Pakistan are doing, what they can do & worst case scenario (if things spiral out of control).

For the moment, just start paying tax & that is the best you can do for Kashmir Cause, specially Mullahs who have a feel for business in brewing situation. State should handle Kashmir with open mind. There is resentment inside India both among opposition & liberal literate Indians who are for certain a minority. Fanatic nationalist are not only in numbers, they are riding a high tide of hate augmented by extremist religious beliefs and fantasy of Mahabharta. Like ours, religious bigotry is easy to sell in India as well. But the direction is less ideological more political in nature.Modi's political game hinges on fuelling Hindu extremism & in doing so inciting nationalistic jingoism. It already got him second term despite failures & amateurish policies. Extremism & jingoism feeds on hatred. It sells fast & produces results in a society of nearly 300 million illiterate adults, enough votes to win elections. And their media dances only on war tunes. No where in the world media is as hysteric as India. Like ours, media is also a sold out. But political polarization in India on current Kashmir situation has left them no choice but to share opposition's disaporoval of it. Our greatest advantage is that abolishing special status of Kashmir & annexing Ladakh has put India in an internal political quandary. India is not united. There is word that indian Supreme Court may annul the legislation but when it comes to Dharam, ISC has repeatedly failed to keep its judicial integrity particularly when Indian Muslims are at the receiving end.

On foregn front, India is being exposed and incidentally, we have an active FO & a proactive FM. Seek them out on every forum. Yes, it didn't make any difference in past 72 years but this time we are taking no prisoners.

Those in hurry for war should take a deep breath. I'm also suggesting the same with an overarching domestic and foreign ploicy imperatives along with exploiting internal Indian discord on the issue even if we have to go till the bitter end. 

Celebrating this 14 August as Kashmir Banay Ga Pakistan Day sends a strong signal across. PM deciding to spend Azadi Day at AJK also gets two thumps up. Whether situation spirals out of conrol or not nation must look united. Opposition political parties in Pakistan are crippled, so if anyone is worried that opposition not being on board  makes any difference they are wasting their time. Opposition had one wise move to gain any political mileage in given situation i.e to stand with the Govt on this sensitive issue but their desperation is letting them down. Does it matter if Maraym Nawaz is behind the bars, she still can make substandard leadership calls from there. Likewise, Bilawal with Zardari's baggage is a dummy.

Those disapproving Govt Tweets as limiting the war to social media should understand, social media is the battleground. We have to dig in there as well. We must out maneuver Indians on social media. Our job is easy, just share the truth in the face of Indian lies blatant lies & propaganda of normalcy in Kashmir & elsewhere. Tweets like appeal to Sikhs & Punjabi soldiers not to take part in atrocities against Kashmiris can be effective. 

This time we should not need Mullahs at the front line of Kashmir issue. State should take the bull by the horns on every front. 

Time is ripe to fuel ethnic/ separatist movements in India. Situation in Kashmir demands we up the ante from moral support to next level, they deserve it. They have been wrapping their fallen in Sabz Hilali. What kind of loyalty is that? More than political, I guess its ideological.When political goals fall within the ambit of Islamic ideology, its like an elephant in the room. Its not just the reality to deal with but an obilgation to fulfill. 

So basically its Modi's pathetic short term political gimmickry versus Kashmiris' ideological struggle. Kashmiris already outweigh Modi's politics. 

Probability of things spiraling out of control is low. We might expect some adventurism from Modi Mindset in last year in office, not in first. Pakistan should remain proactive on exploiting Indian vulnerabilities and extremely vigilant to react with force where needed. One calculated move like 27 February air combat feat & Indian bubble will bust.

There is an opportunity in every challenge, we need to seize this opportunity and use it to our advantage. 

Only Allah knows the whole Truth.

Sunday 11 August 2019

Eid ul Adha Mubarak

Thoughts on this Eid ul Adha were triggered by a thoughtful quote picture suggesting that real sacrifice took place in the conversation between the Father (Ibrahim AS) & the Son (Ismail AS), the Ram was just the redemption. And like we have reduced the spirit of so many things to rituals, we do 'sacrifice' animals every 10 Zil Hajj but seems to have forgotten the conversation which gave birth to this great Islamic tradition.  Allah swt didn't need blood of Ismail AS nor does he need the blood of billions of animals sacrificed in keeping this tradition alive. He swt just wants to benefit us by remembering the story of two peerless Men (AS) in human history. In those glorious moments, Father & Son (AS) set the standards of 'Belief', 'Sacrifice' & 'Obedience' & no wonder if any tradition that needs to be kept alive & cherished for the rest of the time, it had to be this unparalleled readiness of sacrificial father & unconditional submission of the son to the will of Allah. Since Quran is the epitome of perfect speech, in few precise words, The Owner of Heavens & Earth has taken us to the greatest sacrifice scene in His Kingdom between Mina & Jamraat where that (somewhat forgotten) conversation took place:
Allah SWT said:

فَلَمَّا بَلَغَ مَعَهُ السَّعْىَ قَالَ يٰبُنَىَّ إِنِّىٓ أَرٰى فِى الْمَنَامِ أَنِّىٓ أَذْبَحُكَ فَانْظُرْ مَاذَا تَرٰى  ۚ قَالَ يٰٓأَبَتِ افْعَلْ مَا تُؤْمَرُ  ۖ سَتَجِدُنِىٓ إِنْ شَآءَ اللَّهُ مِنَ الصّٰبِرِينَ
"And when he reached with him [the age of] exertion, he said, O my son, indeed I have seen in a dream that I [must] sacrifice you, so see what you think. He said, O my father, do as you are commanded. You will find me, if Allah wills, of the steadfast."
(QS. As-Saaffaat 37: Verse 102)

Revisiting this amazing moment may add some value to our sacrifice. Bearings have to be correct to keep the direction right. Qurbani at Eid ul Adha is not just a ritual or bakra selfie fest or a social show off, it is commemoration of unprecedented sacrifice, so loved by Allah that we celebrate it every year for a good reason.
May we keep the spirit of this tradition alive.
May Allah accept our sacrifice. Ameen
Eid ul Adha Mubarak

Thursday 1 August 2019

Senate Circus

Replacing one Baloch with another was apparently a balancing act but it turned into a horrendous circus act by the political thugs. Except some political face saving there was nothing in it. Equation of Senate was otherwise due to change in favor of the govt in next turn over. So for few months putting a Chairman Senate was a move made in despration which reflects political bankruptcy of opposition.
In retrospect, instead of fretting about loss in Senate, political thugs should have darned the hole in political process i.e secret ballot when they were in power to do that in past four decades. Despite their protracted tag team rule over this country, thugs in opposition looked small in front of thugs in power. Politics is among the noblest of professions but our politicians have turned it in to pooh. To Govt coalition, those brave fourteen are روشن ضمیر and for combined opposition they are ضمیر پروش. Truly, an insult to party based politics, as PM put it in his 'victory' Tweet, but its quite naive of him as he is Chief Executive of the country & he is pretending nothing has happened or at least he has nothing to do with shady Senate circus. Whereas, his big mouthpieces are celebrating this as their greatest success. Our messy politics just got messier.
Anyway, way forward would be that all these political thugs should immediately legislate this secret ballot out of Senate election process. However, they will keep harping about dishonesty of fourteen or their miraculous enlightenment between show of hands in favor of the motion & casting the secret vote behind the curtain.
But they wouldn't change the law of secret ballot. They just love bickering because its easy & they abhor legislation because it takes some doing.
Politics today has achieved her highest low.